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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Nottingham Forest — Sunderland

Match Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland September 27, 2025

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Sunderland
Sunderland
L D D W W Away · last 5
The City Ground · Nottingham, Nottinghamshire Referee Tony Harrington, England
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 80% · book 1.24
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 65% · book 1.89
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.95
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.65 – 1.19
Δ +0.46
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
3 / 9
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This fixture features Nottingham Forest hosting Sunderland at The City Ground. Nottingham Forest have struggled to find consistent form recently, showing a mixed pattern with some draws and losses, while Sunderland have been somewhat steadier with a couple of wins and draws. Forest’s attacking threat appears limited, and their defense has been vulnerable, especially at home. Sunderland, on the other hand, demonstrate a more solid defensive setup and a slightly better attacking edge away from home.

The home side’s advantage is moderate but not overwhelming, and the game is likely to be competitive with a modest tempo. The model leans towards a home win given the venue and Sunderland’s defensive caution, but the draw remains a realistic outcome. Goals are expected to be limited, with under 2.5 goals favored. Both teams scoring is plausible but not strongly favored.

Top value lies in the home side avoiding defeat and the under 2.5 goals market, where the odds offer some edge. Asian handicap options on the home side also present interesting opportunities given the balance of strength and venue.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NOT 4-2-3-1 · SUN 4-2-3-1
Subs used · NOT
46' Gibbs-White ↑ · Domínguez
60' Jesus ↑ · Ndoye
60' Hudson-Odoi ↑ · McAtee
72' Hutchinson ↑ · Bakwa
90' Kalimuendo ↑ · Wood
Subs used · SUN
59' Traoré ↑ · Rigg
59' Geertruida ↑ · Masuaku
75' Ballard ↑ · Fée
85' Adingra ↑ · Talbi
85' Brobbey ↑ · Isidor

📊 Statistics

NOT 01 SUN
65%
Possession (%)
35%
1.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.19
22
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
3
10
Shots off Target
5
15
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
6
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
4
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

17 · 0 – 1
9'
Noah Sadiki
Yellow Card
31'
Arthur Masuaku
Yellow Card
Nicolás Domínguez
Yellow Card
36'
Nikola Milenković
Yellow Card
38'
38'
Omar Alderete
Assist · Granit Xhaka · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Morgan Gibbs-White ↓ · Nicolás Domínguez ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Neco Williams
Yellow Card
49'
59'
Bertrand Traoré ↓ · Chris Rigg ↑
Substitution 1
59'
Lutsharel Geertruida ↓ · Arthur Masuaku ↑
Substitution 2
Igor Jesus ↓ · Dan Ndoye ↑
Substitution 2
60'
Callum Hudson-Odoi ↓ · James McAtee ↑
Substitution 3
60'
Omari Hutchinson ↓ · Dilane Bakwa ↑
Substitution 4
72'
75'
Daniel Ballard ↓ · Enzo Le Fée ↑
Substitution 3
Elliot Anderson
Yellow Card
82'
85'
Simon Adingra ↓ · Chemsdine Talbi ↑
Substitution 4
85'
Brian Brobbey ↓ · Wilson Isidor ↑
Substitution 5
Arnaud Kalimuendo ↓ · Chris Wood ↑
Substitution 5
90'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 3 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.24 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.89 65% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 55% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.38 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -0.5 1.88 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.21 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.88 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.74 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.70 20% Cashed +3.70 Cashed
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 6 L −0.46u −5% ROI