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Home › England › Premier League › Crystal Palace — Nottingham Forest

Prediction: Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest, October 11

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L L W L D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 13:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
L D D W L Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London Referee Peter Bankes

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CRY
45%
Best 2.80
Draw
27%
Best 3.49
Away Win · NOT
28%
Best 2.70

Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 57% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 45% Crystal Palace win
Over/Under 2.5 57% Under 2.5
BTTS 51% No
Double Chance 72% 1X
  • 1X2 Crystal Palace win 45%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57%
  • BTTS No 51%
  • Double Chance 1X 72%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Crystal Palace
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 10 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 0.57 / 1.45
Nottingham Forest
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 4 / 5
Avg goals / match 1.8
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.47 / 1.05

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.20
Goals Scored
0.80
2.20
Goals Conceded
1
0.52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
3.60
Shots on Target
3.40
2.40
Corners
3.40
43.40
Possession (%)
47.20
99.52
Efficiency index
88.11
86.48
Adjusted index
78.48
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
40
OFF · home
0
10
DEF · home
90
80
OFF · away
90
80
DEF · away
55
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Crystal Palace wins when scoring first
0%
①
Nottingham Forest wins when scoring first
50%
⚽
Crystal Palace BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Nottingham Forest BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Crystal Palace Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Nottingham Forest Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Crystal Palace comeback rate · last 10
17%
↩
Nottingham Forest comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Crystal Palace · last 10 at home

0–15 9%
16–30 9%
31–45 18%
46–60 0%
61–75 9%
76–90 55%

Nottingham Forest · last 10 away

0–15 18%
16–30 5%
31–45 18%
46–60 18%
61–75 9%
76–90 32%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

T. Mitchell
CRY · Defender
2 G · 0.54 g/90
D. Ndoye
NOT · Attacker
1 G · 0.70 g/90