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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Europa League Nottingham Forest — Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Thu 30 Apr · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
W W L W W Away · last 5
Referee J. Pinheiro
Miss
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
AI 50% · book 2.11
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 39% · book 2.59
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 28% · book 3.38
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.46 – 0.77
Δ +0.69
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa looks like a much tighter game than a simple home-favourite reading would suggest. Forest bring the stronger recent rhythm and the home setting gives them a real platform, but Villa arrive with the sharper attacking ceiling and the more dangerous overall profile when the game opens up. That points toward a balanced contest where neither side should be surprised to spend long stretches under pressure.

The most likely match script is a competitive game with chances at both ends rather than a cagey stalemate. Forest are steady enough to stay in it throughout, yet Villa look slightly more threatening in the decisive moments, especially if the match becomes stretched after the break. Result markets are therefore quite close, while the more interesting angles sit around away-side protection and a match that should produce at least a couple of goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

NOT 10 AST
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.77
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
11
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
0
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 8 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 Goals 2.11 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.59 39% Cashed +1.59 Cashed
Draw 3.38 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.76 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 67% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Away Win 3.00 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 44% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
AH Home +1 1.17 78% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.56 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 Goals 1.33 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.11 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 Goals 1.84 50% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Under 3.5 Goals 1.30 72% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 Goals 1.06 89% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 1.5 Goals 3.40 28% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 7 L −0.15u −1% ROI