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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Europa League Celta Vigo — SC Freiburg
World   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W D W L L
Kick-off
Thu 16 Apr · 16:45
1:3
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 66% · book 1.90
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 39% · book 4.00
Hit
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 39% · book 2.90
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.23 – 1.07
Δ +0.16
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
7 / 14
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Away 0 at 2.90 — +10.0% better than the market.

Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg looks more balanced than a simple home-favourite price suggests. Celta have the advantage of playing at home, but Freiburg come in with the better recent rhythm and a slightly stronger overall football profile. The visitors look more likely to stay competitive for the full match, especially if the game becomes stretched or turns into a battle of transitions rather than pure control.

The most likely script is a close contest with neither side fully dominating for long. Celta should have moments through home pressure, but Freiburg look well placed to take points and have a realistic chance of edging the result if they manage the key phases well. Goal markets lean toward a medium-scoring game rather than a shootout.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Away 0
AH Away 0 @ 2.90 ✓ Cashed
AI 39% Implied 35% +1.90u
+190%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

CEL 13 FRE
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.23
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.07
15
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
6
7
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
3
21
Fouls
12
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
4
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 7 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.90 66% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Away Win 4.00 39% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.90 39% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Draw 3.80 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.90 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.00 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 92% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 48% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.90 51% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.30 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.00 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.50 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 7 L +1.10u +8% ROI
Best bet of the night · AH Away 0
CEL – FRE @ 2.90
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →