P
Prognosist
P
Home World UEFA Europa League Celta Vigo — SC Freiburg

Predictions Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg April 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W D W L L
Kick-off
Thu 16 Apr · 16:45
1:3
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Home Win · CEL
34%
Best 1.88
Draw
27%
Best 3.73
VALUE
Away Win · FRE
39%
Best 3.95
Value pick
AH Away 0
@ 2.90
Fair odds
2.56
book 2.90 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +10.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Value pick
Probability 39%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 34%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 5 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 92%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 49%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 51%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Value pick
Probability 39%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 34%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Value pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 61%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · AH Away 0
CEL – FRE @ 2.90
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →