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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — SC Freiburg

Match RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg January 14, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Wed 14 Jan · 19:30
2:0
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W L D L W Away · last 5
Referee Robert Hartmann, Germany
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 2.56 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.66 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 55% · book 1.86 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.24 – 0.17
Δ +2.07
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

RB Leipzig holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a mild home advantage, suggesting they can impose their attacking rhythm. Their recent form shows some inconsistency, but they still outpace Freiburg in scoring potential. Expect a dynamic game with Leipzig's offense challenging Freiburg's defense, while Freiburg's resilience could keep the scoreline tight.

  • Leipzig's home momentum and pressing edge
  • Freiburg's compact defensive block
  • Moderate pace hinting at open play and goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LEI 4-3-3 · FRE 4-2-3-1
LEI · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · FRE 1 Gulácsi 17 Baku 4 Orbán ⚽ 23 Lukeba 22 Raum 24 Schlager 13 Seiwald 14 Baumgartner 27 Gomis 40 Rômulo ⚽ 20 Ouédraogo 1 Atubolu 17 Kübler 43 Ogbus 5 Jung 30 Günter 8 Eggestein 6 Osterhage 29 Treu 14 Suzuki 44 Manzambi 9 Höler
Subs used · LEI
60' Diomande ↑ · Gomis ↓
60' Nusa ↑ · Ouedraogo ↓
74' Harder ↑ · Cardoso ↓
88' Bitshiabu ↑ · Baumgartner ↓
88' Banzuzi ↑ · Lukeba ↓
Subs used · FRE
55' Grifo ↑ · Suzuki ↓
65' Beste ↑ · Treu ↓
65' Matanovic ↑ · Holer ↓
85' Makengo ↑ · Gunter ↓
85' Scherhant ↑ · Osterhage ↓

📊 Statistics

LEI 2 – 0 FRE
64%
Possession (%)
36%
2.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.17
21
Total Shots
3
7
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
1
19
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
16
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
0
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 0
14'
▮
Yuito Suzuki
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
52'
▮
Philipp Treu
Yellow Card
W. Orban
Assist · D. Raum · 1–0
⚽
53'
55'
⇄
V. Grifo ↓ · Y. Suzuki ↑
Substitution 1
Romulo Cardoso
2–0
⚽
56'
Y. Diomande ↓ · T. Gomis ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
A. Nusa ↓ · A. Ouedraogo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
65'
⇄
J. Beste ↓ · P. Treu ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⇄
I. Matanovic ↓ · L. Holer ↑
Substitution 3
C. Harder ↓ · Romulo Cardoso ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
77'
▮
Jan-Niklas Beste
Yellow Card
85'
⇄
J. Makengo ↓ · C. Gunter ↑
Substitution 4
85'
⇄
D. Scherhant ↓ · P. Osterhage ↑
Substitution 5
E. Bitshiabu ↓ · C. Baumgartner ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
E. Banzuzi ↓ · C. Lukeba ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
90+6'
▮
Maximilian Eggestein
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.56 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.66 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.86 — 55% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.61 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.07 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.41 — 37% Cashed +1.41 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.42 — 36% Cashed +1.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.27 — 77% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.55 — 57% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.20 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 — 84% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Away Win 4.30 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.20 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.20 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.38 — 55% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.87u −23% ROI