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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — SC Freiburg

Predictions by Market: RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Wed 14 Jan · 19:30
2:0
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W L D L W Away · last 5
Referee Robert Hartmann, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEI
55%
Best 1.81
Draw
23%
Best 3.75
Away Win · FRE
23%
Best 4.40
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.56
Fair odds
2.32
book 2.56 · +10.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +10.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (57%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 57%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.9%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.4%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LEI – FRE @ 2.56
+10.1%
Edge
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