Match Juventus vs Galatasaray February 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.80 — +10.0% better than the market.

Juventus vs Galatasaray prediction
Juventus have the home advantage, but the matchup is far tighter than the odds suggest. Galatasaray arrive in excellent form and can match Juventus for threat in open play, especially if the game becomes transitional. Juventus should still have strong spells, yet the visitors look well placed to keep it competitive and push this toward a narrow outcome rather than a comfortable home win.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.80 ✗ Lost

AI 40% Implied 36% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

JUV 4-3-3 · GAL 4-2-3-1

JUV · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · GAL

10 Yıldız

📊 Statistics

JUV 3 – 2 GAL

47%

Possession (%)

53%

5.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.01

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Juventus beat Galatasaray 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 5.06 to 2.01. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 16, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 7 landed and 7 missed, for a net -3.40 units (Brier 0.188).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 7 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.80	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.90	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.30	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.70	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	64%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.50	—	60%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.10	—	84%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.80	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.50	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.30	—	36%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Home Win	1.60	—	42%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.30	—	62%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	72%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 7 L	−3.40u	−24% ROI