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Home › Italy › Serie A › Cagliari — Juventus

Prediction: Cagliari vs Juventus, October 11

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cagliari
Cagliari
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 18:45
1:1
Live · 86'
Juventus
Juventus
W W D L W Away · last 5
Unipol Domus · Cagliari Referee Matteo Marcenaro

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CAG
11%
Best 6.70
Draw
23%
Best 4.04
Away Win · JUV
66%
Best 1.62

Model verdict

Model leans toward Juventus to win — 66% probability.

Also rated highly: Under 2.5 goals 59%, both teams not to score 57%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 66% Juventus win
Over/Under 2.5 59% Under 2.5
BTTS 57% No
Double Chance 89% X2
  • 1X2 Juventus win 66%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59%
  • BTTS No 57%
  • Double Chance X2 89%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Cagliari
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 5 / 2
Avg goals / match 1.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 0.85 / 1.93
Juventus
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 12 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 0.57

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1.60
0.40
Goals Conceded
0.80
0.68
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
3.80
Shots on Target
5.80
3.80
Corners
8.40
40.20
Possession (%)
55.40
100.72
Efficiency index
100.75
91.60
Adjusted index
117.72
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
10
OFF · home
40
20
DEF · home
95
25
OFF · away
65
60
DEF · away
100
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Cagliari wins when scoring first
100%
①
Juventus wins when scoring first
80%
⚽
Cagliari BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Juventus BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Cagliari Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Juventus Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↩
Cagliari comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Juventus comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Cagliari · last 10 at home

0–15 25%
16–30 13%
31–45 25%
46–60 25%
61–75 13%
76–90 0%

Juventus · last 10 away

0–15 12%
16–30 18%
31–45 12%
46–60 24%
61–75 6%
76–90 29%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

D. Maldini
CAG · Attacker
3 G · 0.73 g/90
A. Romano
CAG · Midfielder
1 G · 1.00 g/90
E. Zhegrova
JUV · Midfielder
2 G
Bremer
JUV · Defender
1 G · 0.50 g/90