Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa 3:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.98 — +7.2% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.98 ✗ Lost

AI 15% Implied 14% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GAL 4-2-3-1 · KAS 4-2-3-1

GAL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KAS

11 Akgün

Statistics

GAL 3 – 1 KAS

63%

Possession (%)

37%

2.40

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.51

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Galatasaray beat Kasımpaşa 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.40 to 0.51. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 9, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.28 units (Brier 0.122).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	55%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.13	—	46%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.78	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.70	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.98	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.25	—	79%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.44	—	67%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.32	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	12.10	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.28u	−30% ROI

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled