Post-match · 90 sec read
Norway are rampant at home while Estonia struggle to resist waves of pressure. Expect a fast start, several home goals and long spells where the visitors are pinned back.
⛀ Lineups
NOR 4-4-2 · EST 5-4-1
📊 Statistics
NOR 4 – 1 EST69%
Possession (%)
31%
18
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
1
15
Shots Inside Box
4
8
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
17
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Match recap
Norway beat Estonia 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 6, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 0.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 7 landed and 10 missed, for a net -6.76 units (Brier 0.108).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 7 W · 10 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.47 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.47 | Cashed |
| Draw | 34.00 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 85.00 | — | 3% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away +2 | 5.90 | — | 41% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 17.00 | — | 11% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 1.40 | — | 78% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.19 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.19 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.05 | — | 94% | Cashed | +0.05 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 1.04 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 3.00 | — | 30% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 6.00 | — | 15% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 15.00 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.01 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 29.00 | — | 3% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 3.35 | — | 22% | Cashed | +2.35 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 51.00 | — | 2% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -2 | 1.13 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.13 | Cashed |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 7 W · 10 L | −6.76u | −40% ROI |