P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🏆 Tournament
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1899 Hoffenheim — Hamburger SV

Match 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV December 13, 2025 — Result and Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 13 Dec · 14:30
4:1
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
PreZero Arena · Sinsheim Referee Martin Petersen, Germany
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 66% · book 1.69 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.77 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.62 ✗
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
1.31 – 1.31
Δ +0.00
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.69 — +10.7% better than the market.

1899 Hoffenheim enter this clash with a clear quality edge, bolstered by a strong home momentum and a more potent attack compared to Hamburger SV's sturdy but less threatening defense. Hoffenheim's pressing and set-piece threat could exploit HSV's vulnerabilities, especially given their slightly less consistent away form. The match hints at a moderate pace with a balanced goal environment, favoring Hoffenheim to control proceedings and edge a win.

  • Home attacking edge against away defense
  • Better recent form and home momentum
  • Moderate tempo suggests tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.69 ✗ Lost
AI 66% Implied 59% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HOF 4-4-2 · HAM 3-4-3
HOF · 4-4-2 3-4-3 · HAM 1 Baumann 34 Coufal 2 Hranáč 5 Kabak ⚽ 21 Hajdari 6 Prömel ⚽ 7 Avdullahu 18 Burger 29 Touré 19 Lemperle ⚽ 27 Kramarić 1 Fernandes 24 Capaldo 44 Vušković 25 Torunarigha 16 Gocholeishvili 6 Lokonga 23 Meffert 28 Muheim 20 Vieira 11 Königsdörffer 45 Baldé
Subs used · HOF
67' Asllani ↑ · Kramaric ↓
67' Prass ↑ · Toure ↓
80' Bebou ↑ · Lemperle ↓
80' Hlozek ↑ · Promel ↓
88' Gendrey ↑ · Coufal ↓
Subs used · HAM
46' Philippe ↑ · Gocholeishvili ↓
67' Elfadli ↑ · Meffert ↓
78' Poulsen ↑ · Konigsdorffer ↓
78' Jatta ↑ · Balde ↓
88' Soumahoro ↑ · Capaldo ↓

📊 Statistics

HOF 4 – 1 HAM
59%
Possession (%)
41%
1.31
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.31
10
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
6
9
Shots Inside Box
8
3
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
10
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

19 · 4 – 1
G. Promel
Assist · W. Burger · 1–0
⚽
8'
29'
▮
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
Yellow Card
O. Kabak
Assist · G. Promel · 2–0
⚽
31'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
R. Philippe ↓ · G. Gocholeishvili ↑
Substitution 1
65'
▮
Nicolás Capaldo
Yellow Card
T. Lemperle
Assist · B. Toure · 3–0
⚽
65'
F. Asllani ↓ · A. Kramaric ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
67'
A. Prass ↓ · B. Toure ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
67'
⇄
D. Elfadli ↓ · J. Meffert ↑
Substitution 2
F. Asllani
Assist · A. Prass · 4–0
⚽
72'
Grischa Prömel
Yellow Card
▮
74'
77'
▮
Albert Sambi Lokonga
Yellow Card
78'
⇄
Y. Poulsen ↓ · R. Konigsdorffer ↑
Substitution 3
78'
⇄
B. Jatta ↓ · F. Balde ↑
Substitution 4
I. Bebou ↓ · T. Lemperle ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
80'
A. Hlozek ↓ · G. Promel ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
80'
82'
⚽
R. Philippe
Assist · F. Vieira · 4–1
V. Gendrey ↓ · V. Coufal ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
88'
⇄
A. Soumahoro ↓ · N. Capaldo ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 4 – 1

Match recap

1899 Hoffenheim beat Hamburger SV 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 5 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.31 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Promel (8'), O. Kabak (31'), T. Lemperle (65'), F. Asllani (72'), R. Philippe (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.97 units (Brier 0.135).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.69 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.77 — 62% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.62 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.53 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.21 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.38 — 34% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 — 84% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.54 — 56% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.56 — 55% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.34 — 62% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.37 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.17 — 78% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Away Win 4.52 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.48 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.97u −29% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
HOF – HAM @ 1.69
+10.7%
Edge
Forecast →