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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1899 Hoffenheim — Hamburger SV

Predictions by Market: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 13 Dec · 14:30
4:1
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
Prezero Arena · Sinsheim Referee Martin Petersen, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HOF
62%
Best 1.70
Draw
22%
Best 4.20
Away Win · HAM
16%
Best 4.50
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.62
Fair odds
2.28
book 2.62 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (56%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 21.7%
Odds 4.37
Show model details
Implied probability 22.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 16.2%
Odds 4.52
Show model details
Implied probability 22.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.53
Show model details
Implied probability 39.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 16.2%
Odds 3.48
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
HOF – HAM @ 2.62
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →