Match Bayern München vs SC Freiburg November 22, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.01 — +12.5% better than the market.

Bayern München Looks to Extend Dominance

Bayern München holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a potent attack against Freiburg's moderate defense. The home side's pressing and compact block should challenge Freiburg’s offense, which has shown resilience but faces a tough task here. Expect a lively tempo with chances on both ends, given the attacking strengths and recent form trends.

Bayern’s home edge and offensive firepower
Freiburg’s solid but tested defense
High pace likely with goal-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.01 ✓ Cashed

AI 56% Implied 50% +1.01u

+101%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · FRE 4-2-3-1

BAY · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · FRE

9 Kane ⚽

Subs used · BAY

46'

Laimer ↑ ·

Goretzka ↓

71'

Jackson ↑ ·

Karl ↓

77'

Min-Jae ↑ ·

Upamecano ↓

83'

Mike ↑ ·

Kane ↓

83'

Ito ↑ ·

Pavlovic ↓

Subs used · FRE

64'

Osterhage ↑ ·

Manzambi ↓

64'

Dinkci ↑ ·

Scherhant ↓

64'

Matanovic ↑ ·

Holer ↓

77'

Lienhart ↑ ·

Rosenfelder ↓

77'

Grifo ↑ ·

Suzuki ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 6 – 2 FRE

72%

Possession (%)

28%

2.45

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.57

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 6 – 2

12'

⚽

Y. Suzuki

Assist · M. Ginter · 0–1

17'

⚽

J. Manzambi

Assist · J. Beste · 0–2

L. Karl

Assist · M. Olise · 1–2

⚽

22'

Aleksandar Pavlović

Yellow Card

▮

40'

M. Olise

Assist · L. Karl · 2–2

⚽

45'

Half-time · 2 – 2

K. Laimer ↓ · L. Goretzka ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

D. Upamecano

Assist · M. Olise · 3–2

⚽

55'

H. Kane

Assist · A. Pavlovic · 4–2

⚽

60'

64'

⇄

P. Osterhage ↓ · J. Manzambi ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⇄

E. Dinkci ↓ · D. Scherhant ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

I. Matanovic ↓ · L. Holer ↑

Substitution 3

N. Jackson ↓ · L. Karl ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

Kim Min-Jae ↓ · D. Upamecano ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

⇄

P. Lienhart ↓ · M. Rosenfelder ↑

Substitution 4

77'

⇄

V. Grifo ↓ · Y. Suzuki ↑

Substitution 5

N. Jackson

Assist · M. Olise · 5–2

⚽

78'

W. Mike ↓ · H. Kane ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

H. Ito ↓ · A. Pavlovic ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

M. Olise

Assist · H. Ito · 6–2

⚽

84'

Full-time · 6 – 2

Match recap

Bayern München beat SC Freiburg 6–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.45 to 0.57. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 8, 8 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 6 from 2.45 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: Y. Suzuki (12'), J. Manzambi (17'), L. Karl (22'), M. Olise (45'), D. Upamecano (55'), H. Kane (60'), N. Jackson (78'), M. Olise (84').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.16 units (Brier 0.068).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.01	—	56%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.98	—	52%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.97	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	8.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.24	—	81%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.04	—	81%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.38	—	73%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	89%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Double Chance X2	5.08	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	7.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	29.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	15.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	10.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.16u	−36% ROI

Match Bayern München vs SC Freiburg November 22, 2025 — Result and Stats