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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayern München — SC Freiburg

Predictions by Market: Bayern München vs SC Freiburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 14:30
6:2
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W L D L W Away · last 5
Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
81%
Best 1.18
Draw
14%
Best 7.45
Away Win · FRE
5%
Best 15.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 8.00
Fair odds
6.99
book 8.00 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 14% · EV +14.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (81%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 14.3%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 4.8%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 47.6%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 73%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 27%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 11.5%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 2.8%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 56%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 4.8%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 19.1%
Odds 5.08
Show model details
Implied probability 19.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAY – FRE @ 8.00
+14.5%
Edge
Forecast →