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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Union Berlin — Bayern München

Union Berlin vs Bayern München 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 14:30
2:2
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
An der Alten Försterei · Berlin Referee Florian Exner, Germany
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 2.05 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 58% · book 2.05 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.02 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
0.85 – 1.41
Δ −0.56
Possession
26% – 74%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.50 — +12.3% better than the market.

Bundesliga Clash: Union Berlin vs Bayern München

Bayern München's overwhelming quality edge and potent attack set the stage for a dominant display, despite Union Berlin's home resilience. The hosts' compact defense faces a stern test against Bayern's clinical offense, while Union's recent mixed form contrasts with Bayern's winning momentum. Expect a lively encounter with goals likely, as both sides push the pace in a high-tempo Bundesliga fixture.

  • Bayern's superior firepower challenges Union's defensive solidity.
  • Union's home edge is limited but could spark moments of pressure.
  • Recent form favors Bayern's confidence and attacking rhythm.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 7.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 15% Implied 13% +6.50u
+650%
ROI on stake

Lineups

UNI 3-5-2 · BAY 4-2-3-1
UNI · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · BAY 1 Ronnow 5 Doekhi ⚽ 14 Querfeld 4 Leite 19 Haberer 13 Schafer 6 Kemlein 8 Khedira 15 Rothe 7 Burke 10 Ansah 1 Neuer 27 Laimer 2 Upamecano 4 Tah 44 Stanisic 6 Kimmich 8 Goretzka 17 Olise 7 Gnabry 14 Diaz ⚽ 9 Kane ⚽
Subs used · UNI
70' Juranovic ↑ · Haberer ↓
70' Kral ↑ · Kemlein ↓
78' Kohn ↑ · Rothe ↓
78' Skarke ↑ · Ansah ↓
78' Woo-Yeong ↑ · Burke ↓
Subs used · BAY
59' Karl ↑ · Gnabry ↓
80' Bischof ↑ · Laimer ↓
80' Pavlovic ↑ · Goretzka ↓
88' Jackson ↑ · Stanisic ↓

Statistics

UNI 2 – 2 BAY
26%
Possession (%)
74%
0.85
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.41
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
5
8
Fouls
8
65%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

19 · 2 – 2
15'
▮
Konrad Laimer
Yellow Card
D. Doekhi
Assist · J. Haberer · 1–0
⚽
27'
Janik Haberer
Yellow Card
▮
36'
38'
⚽
L. Diaz
Assist · J. Stanisic · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
59'
⇄
L. Karl ↓ · S. Gnabry ↑
Substitution 1
63'
▮
Josip Stanišić
Yellow Card
J. Juranovic ↓ · J. Haberer ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
A. Kral ↓ · A. Kemlein ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
D. Kohn ↓ · T. Rothe ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
T. Skarke ↓ · I. Ansah ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓ · O. Burke ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
78'
80'
⇄
T. Bischof ↓ · K. Laimer ↑
Substitution 2
80'
⇄
A. Pavlovic ↓ · L. Goretzka ↑
Substitution 3
82'
▮
Michael Olise
Yellow Card
D. Doekhi
2–1
⚽
83'
Danilho Doekhi
Yellow Card
▮
88'
88'
⇄
N. Jackson ↓ · J. Stanisic ↑
Substitution 4
90'
⚽
H. Kane
Assist · T. Bischof · 2–2
90+7'
▮
Joshua Kimmich
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Union Berlin and Bayern München drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 74% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.41 to 0.85. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Doekhi (27'), L. Diaz (38'), D. Doekhi (83'), H. Kane (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.21 units (Brier 0.203).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.05 — 58% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.05 — 58% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
BTTS No 2.02 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.95 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.40 — 77% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Draw 7.50 — 15% Cashed +6.50 Cashed
Away Win 1.28 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.06 — 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.10 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 5.00 — 21% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.13 — 90% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 — 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.30 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 13.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 7.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 26.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.80 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +4.21u +25% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
UNI – BAY @ 7.50
+12.3%
Edge
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