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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Union Berlin — Bayern München

Predictions by Market: Union Berlin vs Bayern München

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 14:30
2:2
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
An der Alten Försterei · Berlin Referee Florian Exner, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · UNI
6%
Best 12.00
Draw
15%
Best 6.66
Away Win · BAY
79%
Best 1.23
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.50
Fair odds
6.68
book 7.50 · +12.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +12.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (79%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 5.8%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 57.8%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 42.2%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 90.4%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 23.2%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 9.6%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 2.6%
Odds 26.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 58.1%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 5.8%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 20.7%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
UNI – BAY @ 7.50
+12.3%
Edge
Forecast →