P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Arsenal — Burnley
Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 L W W W W
Kick-off
Mon 18 May · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L L D L Away · last 5
Emirates Stadium · London Referee P. Tierney
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 2.01
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 40% · book 2.55
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 1.93
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.03 – 0.21
Δ +0.82
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
6 / 14
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Arsenal enter this clash with strong home momentum and a clear quality edge over Burnley, who have struggled on the road and in recent form. The Gunners’ potent attack faces a Burnley defense that has been vulnerable, suggesting Arsenal’s pressing and creativity could dominate. Expect a controlled pace with Arsenal leveraging their set-piece threat and compact block to secure a confident win.

  • Home advantage with a significant quality gap
  • Arsenal’s attacking edge against Burnley’s leaky defense
  • Recent form favors Arsenal’s momentum and confidence

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ARS 4-3-3 · BUR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ARS
72' Hincapie ↑ · Calafiori
73' Gyokeres ↑ · Havertz
73' Lewis-Skelly ↑ · Eze
90+3' Martinelli ↑ · Trossard
90+3' Zubimendi ↑ · Odegaard
Subs used · BUR
70' Amdouni ↑ · Mejbri
71' Laurent ↑ · Ugochukwu
78' Ward-Prowse ↑ · Florentino
82' Humphreys ↑ · Esteve
82' Bruun Larsen ↑ · Tchaouna

📊 Statistics

ARS 10 BUR
61%
Possession (%)
39%
1.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.21
13
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Target
0
7
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
2
3
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
16
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
28'
H. Mejbri
Yellow Card
K. Havertz
Assist · B. Saka · 1–0
37'
Half-time · 1 – 0
K. Havertz
Yellow Card
67'
70'
Z. Amdouni ↓ · H. Mejbri ↑
Substitution 1
71'
J. Laurent ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑
Substitution 2
P. Hincapie ↓ · R. Calafiori ↑
Substitution 1
72'
V. Gyokeres ↓ · K. Havertz ↑
Substitution 2
73'
M. Lewis-Skelly ↓ · E. Eze ↑
Substitution 3
73'
78'
J. Ward-Prowse ↓ · Florentino ↑
Substitution 3
82'
B. Humphreys ↓ · M. Esteve ↑
Substitution 4
82'
J. Bruun Larsen ↓ · L. Tchaouna ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
Z. Flemming
Yellow Card
G. Martinelli ↓ · L. Trossard ↑
Substitution 4
90+3'
M. Zubimendi ↓ · M. Odegaard ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
90+4'
Lucas Pires
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 6 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.01 1.83 59% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.55 2.61 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.93 2.00 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 13.30 11.49 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.40 3.10 39% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 7.10 6.49 19% Cashed +6.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 8.60 7.75 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.02 1.01 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Home Win 1.10 1.08 86% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
BTTS No 1.53 1.44 60% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Away Win 32.00 27.78 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.10 1.08 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.33 1.36 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 21.00 20.83 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 8 L +2.16u +15% ROI