Match Manchester City vs Brentford May 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Manchester City enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record that should challenge Brentford's attack. The visitors have shown resilience but face a tough task breaking down City's compact block. Expect a controlled tempo with City's pressing edge likely to limit Brentford's chances.

Home side's superior form and tactical discipline
Brentford's defensive struggles against high-caliber offenses
Moderate pace hinting at a balanced but controlled match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

MCI 3 – 0 BRE

59%

Possession (%)

41%

2.98

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.24

25

Total Shots

4

10

Shots on Target

2

7

Shots off Target

1

15

Shots Inside Box

2

10

Corner Kicks

2

0

Offsides

2

8

Fouls

14

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

4

Yellow Cards

2

Goalkeeper Saves

7

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 0

B. Silva

Yellow Card

▮

36'

Half-time · 0 – 0

P. Foden ↓ · T. Reijnders ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

O. Marmoush ↓ · R. Cherki ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

J. Doku

1–0

⚽

60'

61'

⇄

V. Janelt ↓ · A. Hickey ↑

Substitution 1

68'

⇄

D. Ouattara ↓ · M. Damsgaard ↑

Substitution 2

N. O'Reilly

Yellow Card

▮

74'

E. Haaland

2–0

⚽

75'

79'

⇄

J. Henderson ↓ · Y. Yarmolyuk ↑

Substitution 3

80'

▮

K. Ajer

Yellow Card

88'

▮

J. Henderson

Yellow Card

M. Nunes

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Savinho ↓ · J. Doku ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90'

O. Marmoush

Assist · E. Haaland · 3–0

⚽

90+2'

O. Marmoush

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Manchester City beat Brentford 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.98 to 0.24. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 4, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Doku (60'), E. Haaland (75'), O. Marmoush (90+2').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.62 units (Brier 0.110).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.84	1.91	56%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS No	2.38	2.36	41%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	1.56	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.12	1.91	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.40	1.36	73%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.00	3.19	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.11	1.10	90%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.40	1.34	66%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.16	3.15	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.13	1.14	73%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Under 1.5	7.00	6.49	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.75	5.38	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	1.07	84%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Away Win	8.00	7.52	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.90	5.32	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.62u	−31% ROI