P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Burnley — Aston Villa
Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L L D L
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 13:00
2:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
W L L D W Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.20
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 65% · book 1.63
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.05
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.77 – 1.42
Δ +0.35
Possession
34% – 66%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Aston Villa enter Turf Moor with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Burnley's defensive solidity might keep things tight, but Villa's sharper attack and momentum from recent wins could break through. The home side's struggles and Villa's pressing edge hint at a controlled game with limited goals.

  • Villa's offensive threat versus Burnley's defense
  • Burnley's poor recent form
  • Likely cautious tempo favoring under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BUR 4-2-3-1 · AST 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BUR
69' Foster ↑ · Mejbri
79' Laurent ↑ · Ugochukwu
80' Amdouni ↑ · Flemming
87' Bruun Larsen ↑ · Anthony
88' Ward-Prowse ↑ · Florentino
Subs used · AST
74' Digne ↑ · Maatsen
74' Buendia ↑ · Lindelof
80' Luiz ↑ · Barkley
80' Bogarde ↑ · Cash
85' Bailey ↑ · McGinn

📊 Statistics

BUR 22 AST
34%
Possession (%)
66%
1.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.42
15
Total Shots
18
6
Shots on Target
7
4
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
9
2
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
8
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 2 – 2
J. Anthony
1–0
8'
42'
R. Barkley
Assist · J. McGinn · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
49'
T. Mings
Yellow Card
56'
O. Watkins
Assist · E. Martinez · 1–2
Z. Flemming
Assist · H. Mejbri · 2–2
59'
Z. Flemming
Yellow Card
60'
L. Foster ↓ · H. Mejbri ↑
Substitution 1
69'
74'
L. Digne ↓ · I. Maatsen ↑
Substitution 1
74'
E. Buendia ↓ · V. Lindelof ↑
Substitution 2
J. Laurent ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑
Substitution 2
79'
Z. Amdouni ↓ · Z. Flemming ↑
Substitution 3
80'
80'
Douglas Luiz ↓ · R. Barkley ↑
Substitution 3
80'
L. Bogarde ↓ · M. Cash ↑
Substitution 4
85'
L. Bailey ↓ · J. McGinn ↑
Substitution 5
J. Bruun Larsen ↓ · J. Anthony ↑
Substitution 4
87'
J. Ward-Prowse ↓ · Florentino ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.20 2.00 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.63 1.60 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 1.93 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.44 2.27 35% Cashed +1.44 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 1.84 46% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.78 1.80 45% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.76 3.00 25% Cashed +1.76 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 1.36 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 12.05 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 4.00 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.18 1.17 87% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.26 1.21 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.52 4.27 22% Cashed +3.52 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.04 91% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 1.22 70% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Home Win 5.58 5.49 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.98 4.03 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.27u −2% ROI