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Home England Premier League Burnley — Aston Villa

Predictions Burnley vs Aston Villa May 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 13:00
2:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Home Win · BUR
13%
Best 6.35
Draw
22%
Best 4.62
Away Win · AST
65%
Best 1.56
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.63
Fair odds
1.54
book 1.63 · +5.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +5.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.52
Show model details
Implied probability 22.1%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 13.3%
Odds 5.58
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.1%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality High
Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 30.1%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 53.5%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 13.3%
Odds 3.98
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.