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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Tottenham — Brighton

Match Tottenham vs Brighton April 18, 2026 — Result and Stats

Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 16:30
2:2
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee Stuart Attwell, England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.50
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.31
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.45
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.08 – 0.89
Δ +0.19
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton arrive at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with clear momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and recent form edge. Their attacking prowess challenges Tottenham's defense, which has struggled lately. Tottenham’s home edge is modest, but their compact block and set-piece threat could keep the game tight. Expect a tactical battle where Brighton’s pressing and offensive efficiency might tip the scales.

  • Brighton’s superior quality and form
  • Tottenham’s defensive resilience at home
  • Potential for a balanced, moderately paced match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

TOT 4-3-3 · BRI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · TOT
57' Tel ↑ · Kolo Muani
57' Gray ↑ · Bissouma
67' Palhinha ↑ · Bentancur
76' Spence ↑ · Udogie
76' Bergvall ↑ · Gallagher
Subs used · BRI
20' Mitoma ↑ · Gomez
75' O'Riley ↑ · Hinshelwood
75' Rutter ↑ · Welbeck
75' De Cuyper
82' Kostoulas ↑ · Ayari

📊 Statistics

TOT 22 BRI
42%
Possession (%)
58%
1.08
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.89
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
14
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

18 · 2 – 2
20'
K. Mitoma ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 1
Yves Bissouma
Yellow Card
34'
37'
Mats Wieffer
Yellow Card
P. Porro
Assist · X. Simons · 1–0
39'
45'
K. Mitoma
Assist · P. Gross · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
M. Tel ↓ · R. Kolo Muani ↑
Substitution 1
57'
A. Gray ↓ · Y. Bissouma ↑
Substitution 2
57'
Kevin Danso
Yellow Card
65'
J. Palhinha ↓ · R. Bentancur ↑
Substitution 3
67'
75'
M. O'Riley ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑
Substitution 2
75'
G. Rutter ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑
Substitution 3
75'
M. De Cuyper ↓ ·
Substitution 4
D. Spence ↓ · D. Udogie ↑
Substitution 4
76'
L. Bergvall ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑
Substitution 5
76'
X. Simons
Assist · L. Bergvall · 2–1
77'
Xavi Simons
Yellow Card
78'
82'
C. Kostoulas ↓ · Y. Ayari ↑
Substitution 5
90'
G. Rutter
Assist · J. P. van Hecke · 2–2
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Tottenham and Brighton drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Porro (39'), K. Mitoma (45'), X. Simons (77'), G. Rutter (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.60 units (Brier 0.206).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.50 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.31 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.45 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.89 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 51% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.61 52% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.11 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.49 73% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.52 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.58 55% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.85 30% Cashed +1.85 Cashed
Home Win 2.84 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.88 24% Cashed +2.88 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 75% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.60u −9% ROI