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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — Brighton

Predictions by Market: Tottenham vs Brighton

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 16:30
2:2
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee Stuart Attwell, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TOT
27%
Best 3.00
Draw
24%
Best 3.80
Away Win · BRI
48%
Best 2.20
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.31
Fair odds
2.06
book 2.31 · +12.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +12.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (51%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 27.3%
Odds 2.84
Show model details
Implied probability 35.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.5%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.6%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.1%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 27.3%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
TOT – BRI @ 2.31
+12.1%
Edge
Forecast →