Burnley vs Brighton 0:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 14.00 — +14.8% better than the market.

Brighton arrives at Turf Moor with clear quality and form advantages, showing strong attacking potential against Burnley's sturdy defense. The home side's recent struggles and limited offensive threat suggest they may find it tough to contain Brighton's pressing and creativity. Expect a controlled pace with Brighton likely to exploit their offensive edge and capitalize on Burnley's defensive lapses.

Brighton's superior attacking vs Burnley's defense
Burnley's poor recent form and low scoring
Moderate tempo favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 14.00 ✗ Lost

AI 8% Implied 7% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BUR 4-2-3-1 · BRI 4-2-3-1

BUR · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BRI

19 Flemming

Subs used · BUR

67'

Bruun Larsen ↑ ·

Ugochukwu ↓

75'

Tresor Ndayishimiye ↑ ·

Edwards ↓

82'

Walker ↑ ·

Humphreys ↓

82'

Broja ↑ ·

Florentino ↓

82'

Pires ↑ ·

Hartman ↓

Subs used · BRI

75'

Baleba ↑ ·

Hinshelwood ↓

75'

Rutter ↑ ·

Welbeck ↓

80'

Mitoma ↑ ·

Minteh ↓

88'

Veltman ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

Statistics

BUR 0 – 2 BRI

50%

Possession (%)

50%

0.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.91

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 0 – 2

Maxime Estève

Yellow Card

▮

30'

43'

⚽

M. Wieffer

Assist · P. Gross · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

48'

▮

Jan Paul van Hecke

Yellow Card

Florentino Luís

Yellow Card

▮

60'

J. Bruun Larsen ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

M. Tresor Ndayishimiye ↓ · M. Edwards ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

75'

⇄

C. Baleba ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑

Substitution 1

75'

⇄

G. Rutter ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑

Substitution 2

80'

⇄

K. Mitoma ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑

Substitution 3

K. Walker ↓ · B. Humphreys ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

A. Broja ↓ · Florentino ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

Lucas Pires ↓ · Q. Hartman ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

88'

⇄

J. Veltman ↓ · D. Gomez ↑

Substitution 4

89'

⚽

M. Wieffer

Assist · Y. Ayari · 0–2

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Brighton won 2–0 away at Burnley. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.91 to 0.90. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Wieffer (43'), M. Wieffer (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.59 units (Brier 0.107).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.79	—	62%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.15	—	52%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	50%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.81	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.15	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	73%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.35	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.24	—	85%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.34	—	62%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.92	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.19	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	73%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Home Win	4.75	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.46	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.59u	−27% ROI

Burnley vs Brighton 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled