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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Burnley — Brighton

Match Burnley vs Brighton April 11, 2026

Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 14:00
0:2
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee T. Bramall
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 62% · book 1.79
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.15
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.15
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.90 – 1.91
Δ −1.01
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton arrives at Turf Moor with clear quality and form advantages, showing strong attacking potential against Burnley's sturdy defense. The home side's recent struggles and limited offensive threat suggest they may find it tough to contain Brighton's pressing and creativity. Expect a controlled pace with Brighton likely to exploit their offensive edge and capitalize on Burnley's defensive lapses.

  • Brighton's superior attacking vs Burnley's defense
  • Burnley's poor recent form and low scoring
  • Moderate tempo favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BUR 4-2-3-1 · BRI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BUR
67' Bruun Larsen ↑ · Ugochukwu
75' Tresor Ndayishimiye ↑ · Edwards
82' Walker ↑ · Humphreys
82' Broja ↑ · Florentino
82' Pires ↑ · Hartman
Subs used · BRI
75' Baleba ↑ · Hinshelwood
75' Rutter ↑ · Welbeck
80' Mitoma ↑ · Minteh
88' Veltman ↑ · Gomez

📊 Statistics

BUR 02 BRI
50%
Possession (%)
50%
0.90
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.91
10
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
9
8
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
11
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

14 · 0 – 2
Maxime Estève
Yellow Card
30'
43'
M. Wieffer
Assist · P. Gross · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
48'
Jan Paul van Hecke
Yellow Card
Florentino Luís
Yellow Card
60'
J. Bruun Larsen ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑
Substitution 1
67'
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye ↓ · M. Edwards ↑
Substitution 2
75'
75'
C. Baleba ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑
Substitution 1
75'
G. Rutter ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑
Substitution 2
80'
K. Mitoma ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑
Substitution 3
K. Walker ↓ · B. Humphreys ↑
Substitution 3
82'
A. Broja ↓ · Florentino ↑
Substitution 4
82'
Lucas Pires ↓ · Q. Hartman ↑
Substitution 5
82'
88'
J. Veltman ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 4
89'
M. Wieffer
Assist · Y. Ayari · 0–2
Full-time · 0 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.79 62% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.15 52% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
BTTS No 2.15 50% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.81 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.15 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 73% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.35 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.24 85% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.34 62% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.92 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.19 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 73% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Home Win 4.75 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.46 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.59u −27% ROI