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Home England Premier League Burnley — Brighton

Predictions Burnley vs Brighton April 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 14:00
0:2
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee T. Bramall
Home Win · BUR
16%
Best 5.00
Draw
23%
Best 4.20
Away Win · BRI
62%
Best 1.65
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.79
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.79 · +10.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +10.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.19
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 15.5%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 15.5%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 38%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 84.5%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.