Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
ALK 4-2-3-1 · HEE 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
ALK 3 – 0 HEE58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.81
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.64
22
Total Shots
7
10
Shots on Target
1
8
Shots off Target
3
14
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
2
5
Fouls
10
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Match recap
AZ Alkmaar beat Heerenveen 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.81 to 0.64. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 7, 10 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.47 units (Brier 0.155).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 2.25 | — | 50% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.04 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.87 | — | 52% | Cashed | +0.87 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 2.80 | — | 34% | Cashed | +1.80 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 1.70 | — | 50% | Cashed | +0.70 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 4.70 | — | 29% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.40 | — | 69% | Cashed | +0.40 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.44 | — | 66% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 3.01 | — | 31% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.23 | — | 71% | Cashed | +0.23 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 3.45 | — | 29% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.02 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.02 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.13 | — | 87% | Cashed | +0.13 | Cashed |
| Draw | 4.50 | — | 21% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 7.00 | — | 13% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 23.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.38 | — | 50% | Cashed | +0.38 | Cashed |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −4.47u | −26% ROI |