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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Heerenveen — Excelsior

Prediction: Heerenveen vs Excelsior, October 16

Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Home · last 5 D L D W L
Kick-off
Fri 16 Oct · 18:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Excelsior
Excelsior
W W D L D Away · last 5
Abe Lenstra Stadion · Heerenveen

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HEE
55%
Best 1.78
Draw
22%
Best 4.33
Away Win · EXC
23%
Best 4.23
Probability based on bookmaker odds
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Heerenveen
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.47 / 1.67
Excelsior
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 10 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.17 / 0.97

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.38
Goals Scored
2.14
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.29
0.68
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
5.75
Shots on Target
4.57
5.13
Corners
4.29
52.63
Possession (%)
40.71
100.97
Efficiency index
107.29
95.53
Adjusted index
125.10
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
6
OFF · home
11
67
DEF · home
56
67
OFF · away
83
67
DEF · away
72
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Heerenveen wins when scoring first
—
①
Excelsior wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Heerenveen BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Excelsior BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Heerenveen Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Excelsior Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↩
Heerenveen comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Excelsior comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Heerenveen · last 4 at home

0–15 14%
16–30 14%
31–45 14%
46–60 29%
61–75 14%
76–90 14%

Excelsior · last 3 away

0–15 33%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 67%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

J. Trenskow
HEE · Attacker
3 G · 0.45 g/90
L. Oyen
HEE · Attacker
1 G
D. Garden
EXC · Attacker
3 G · 0.63 g/90
A. Sliti
EXC · Attacker
3 G · 0.74 g/90