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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › AZ Alkmaar — Hapoel Beer Sheva

Prediction: AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva, October 15

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Thu 15 Oct · 16:45
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALK
73%
Best 1.33
Draw
17%
Best 5.73
Away Win · HAP
10%
Best 9.60
Probability based on bookmaker odds
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
AZ Alkmaar
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.27 / 2.57
Hapoel Beer Sheva
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 0.82 / 0.31

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.25
Goals Scored
0
1
Goals Conceded
0
1.55
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
6.88
Shots on Target
2
8.25
Corners
6
58.88
Possession (%)
66
95.83
Efficiency index
—
153.17
Adjusted index
—
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
—
OFF · home
22
—
DEF · home
79
74
OFF · away
—
34
DEF · away
—
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
AZ Alkmaar wins when scoring first
—
①
Hapoel Beer Sheva wins when scoring first
—
⚽
AZ Alkmaar BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Hapoel Beer Sheva BTTS rate · last 9
33%
↑
AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Hapoel Beer Sheva Over 2.5 · last 9
33%
↩
AZ Alkmaar comeback rate · last 10
50%
↩
Hapoel Beer Sheva comeback rate · last 9
—

Goal timing

AZ Alkmaar · last 3 at home

0–15 12%
16–30 25%
31–45 25%
46–60 12%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%

Hapoel Beer Sheva · last 1 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.