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Home Netherlands Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar — Heerenveen

Predictions AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen April 12, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W D D D D
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 14:45
3:0
Full-time
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
W W L D L Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar Referee Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands
Home Win · ALK
50%
Best 1.75
Draw
21%
Best 4.10
Away Win · HEE
29%
Best 4.00
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.25
Fair odds
1.99
book 2.25 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +13.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 29%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.01
Show model details
Implied probability 33.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.3%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.6%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 29%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 50.2%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.