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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie Excelsior — Ajax

Match Excelsior vs Ajax February 1, 2026

Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 11:15
2:2
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee M. Nagtegaal
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 61% · book 1.83
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.62
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.50
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
0.80 – 0.63
Δ +0.17
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Ajax enters this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a potent attack against Excelsior's less robust defense. Despite Excelsior's slightly better recent form, Ajax's offensive firepower and experience on the road suggest they can break down the home side's compact block. The match hints at a moderately open tempo, favoring chances for both teams but with Ajax likely to control key moments.

  • Ajax's superior attacking index challenges Excelsior's defense.
  • Home momentum for Excelsior may keep the game competitive.
  • Moderate pace expected, supporting a balanced but Ajax-favored contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

EXC 22 AJA
48%
Possession (%)
52%
0.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.63
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
5
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.83 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.62 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.50 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.45 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.43 38% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.08 39% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.40 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.27 84% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 60% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 59% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.11 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 81% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Draw 4.15 23% Cashed +3.15 Cashed
Under 0.5 16.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.12 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.72u −10% ROI