Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 67% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 67%, Ajax to win 62%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 62% | Ajax win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 67% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 67% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 83% | X2 |
- 1X2 Ajax win 62%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67%
- BTTS Yes 67%
- Double Chance X2 83%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Groningen
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
13 / 7
Avg goals / match
4.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
2.12 / 1.35
Ajax
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
14 / 8
Avg goals / match
4.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
5/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
xG (for / against)
1.86 / 1.11
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Groningen wins when scoring first
—
①
Ajax wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Groningen BTTS rate · last 10
80%
⚽
Ajax BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Groningen Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Ajax Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Groningen comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Ajax comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Groningen · last 4 at home
0–15
13%
16–30
38%
31–45
13%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
38%
Ajax · last 4 away
0–15
20%
16–30
0%
31–45
40%
46–60
0%
61–75
20%
76–90
20%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.
