Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 59% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 56%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 45% | Excelsior win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 56% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 59% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 70% | 1X |
- 1X2 Excelsior win 45%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56%
- BTTS Yes 59%
- Double Chance 1X 70%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Excelsior
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
10 / 7
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-2-0
xG (for / against)
1.17 / 0.97
Groningen
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
9 / 11
Avg goals / match
4.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.28 / 2.65
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Excelsior wins when scoring first
—
①
Groningen wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Excelsior BTTS rate · last 10
80%
⚽
Groningen BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Excelsior Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↑
Groningen Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Excelsior comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Groningen comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Excelsior · last 4 at home
0–15
50%
16–30
25%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
25%
Groningen · last 3 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
50%
46–60
0%
61–75
25%
76–90
25%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.
