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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Excelsior — Groningen

Predictions by Market: Excelsior vs Groningen

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 14:45
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Groningen
Groningen
L L D D W Away · last 5
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion · Rotterdam Referee Richard Martens

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EXC
45%
Best 2.61
Draw
24%
Best 3.70
Away Win · GRO
31%
Best 2.58
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.60
Fair odds
2.45
book 2.60 · +6.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
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Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +6.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (59%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.5%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.69
Show model details
Implied probability 27.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
EXC – GRO @ 2.60
+6.3%
Edge
Forecast →