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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Leeds — Manchester City

Match Leeds vs Manchester City February 28, 2026

Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 17:30
0:1
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
D W W D L Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds Referee Peter Bankes, England
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 66% · book 1.62
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 39% · book 2.65
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.68
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.47 – 1.77
Δ −0.30
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Manchester City arrive at Elland Road with a clear quality edge and a strong away offensive threat against Leeds' vulnerable defense. Despite Leeds' slightly better recent form and home momentum, City's superior firepower and tactical discipline should dominate the game. Expect a fast-paced encounter with both sides pushing forward, but City's compact block and pressing edge may limit Leeds' chances.

  • City's attacking prowess vs Leeds' defensive frailties
  • Leeds' home form offers resilience but limited firepower
  • Potential for goals given City's offensive pressure and pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEE 5-4-1 · MCI 4-1-3-2
Subs used · LEE
65' Nmecha ↑ · Aaronson
75' Gnonto ↑ · Gruev
76' James ↑ · Bogle
87' Bijol ↑ · Rodon
87' Piroe ↑ · Justin
Subs used · MCI
68' Savinho ↑ · Marmoush
70' Reijnders ↑ · O'Reilly
88' Ake ↑ · Cherki

📊 Statistics

LEE 01 MCI
33%
Possession (%)
67%
1.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.77
14
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
11
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
8
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
0
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

12 · 0 – 1
45'
A. Semenyo
Assist · R. Ait-Nouri · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
L. Nmecha ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 1
65'
68'
Savinho ↓ · O. Marmoush ↑
Substitution 1
70'
T. Reijnders ↓ · N. O'Reilly ↑
Substitution 2
W. Gnonto ↓ · I. Gruev ↑
Substitution 2
75'
D. James ↓ · J. Bogle ↑
Substitution 3
76'
85'
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Yellow Card
J. Bijol ↓ · J. Rodon ↑
Substitution 4
87'
J. Piroe ↓ · J. Justin ↑
Substitution 5
87'
88'
N. Ake ↓ · R. Cherki ↑
Substitution 3
90+2'
Savinho
Yellow Card
90+2'
Rayan Aït-Nouri
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.62 66% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.65 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.68 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.38 39% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
BTTS No 2.25 41% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.49 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.18 87% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.53 61% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.25 66% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.21 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 4.57 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 18% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 16.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.63 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.26 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.75u −4% ROI