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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Leeds — Manchester City

Predictions Leeds vs Manchester City February 28, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 17:30
0:1
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
D W W D L Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds, West Yorkshire Referee Peter Bankes, England
Home Win · LEE
13%
Best 5.05
Draw
21%
Best 4.03
Away Win · MCI
66%
Best 1.65
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.62
Fair odds
1.51
book 1.62 · +6.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 66% · EV +6.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 21%
Odds 4.57
Show model details
Implied probability 21.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 13%
Odds 5.63
Show model details
Implied probability 17.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 17.8%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.9%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 13%
Odds 4.26
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 34%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.