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Home › England › Premier League › Manchester City — Fulham

Manchester City vs Fulham 3:0: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Wed 11 Feb · 19:30
3:0
Full-time
Fulham
Fulham
W L L D W Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee Paul Tierney, England
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.87 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.66 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 39% · book 2.53 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.47 – 1.50
Δ −0.03
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.41 — +2.9% better than the market.

Manchester City hosts Fulham with a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed form. City's potent attack faces a less robust Fulham defense, suggesting chances to break through. The Etihad's familiar surroundings add a mild advantage, while the pace hints at a moderately open game with goal opportunities.

  • City's offensive firepower vs Fulham's defensive struggles
  • Home comfort and tactical control
  • Recent form favors City but signals some vulnerability

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.41 ✓ Cashed
AI 73% Implied 71% +0.41u
+41%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MCI 4-3-3 · FUL 4-2-3-1
MCI · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · FUL 25 Donnarumma 27 Nunes 3 Dias 15 Guéhi 21 Aït-Nouri 20 Silva 16 Rodri 33 O'Reilly ⚽ 47 Foden 9 Haaland ⚽ 42 Semenyo ⚽ 1 Leno 2 Tete 5 Andersen 3 Bassey 30 Sessegnon 16 Berge 17 Iwobi 8 Wilson 32 Rowe 19 Chukwueze 7 Jiménez
Subs used · MCI
46' Marmoush ↑ · Haaland ↓
60' Reijnders ↑ · Silva ↓
60' Khusanov ↑ · Nunes ↓
71' Cherki ↑ · Foden ↓
71' Nico ↑ · Rodri ↓
Subs used · FUL
60' King ↑ · Smith Rowe ↓
60' Kevin ↑ · Chukwueze ↓
60' Muniz ↑ · Jimenez ↓
72' Bobb ↑ · Wilson ↓
81' Reed ↑ · Berge ↓

Statistics

MCI 3 – 0 FUL
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.50
13
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
8
5
Shots Inside Box
12
4
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
10
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 3 – 0
A. Semenyo
1–0
⚽
24'
30'
▮
Joachim Andersen
Yellow Card
N. O'Reilly
Assist · A. Semenyo · 2–0
⚽
30'
E. Haaland
Assist · P. Foden · 3–0
⚽
39'
Bernardo Silva
Yellow Card
▮
41'
Half-time · 3 – 0
O. Marmoush ↓ · E. Haaland ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
T. Reijnders ↓ · B. Silva ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
A. Khusanov ↓ · M. Nunes ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
60'
60'
⇄
J. King ↓ · E. Smith Rowe ↑
Substitution 1
60'
⇄
Kevin ↓ · S. Chukwueze ↑
Substitution 2
60'
⇄
Rodrigo Muniz ↓ · R. Jimenez ↑
Substitution 3
Phil Foden
Yellow Card
▮
66'
R. Cherki ↓ · P. Foden ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
Nico ↓ · Rodri ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
71'
72'
⇄
O. Bobb ↓ · H. Wilson ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⇄
H. Reed ↓ · S. Berge ↑
Substitution 5
Nico González
Yellow Card
▮
83'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Manchester City beat Fulham 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.47 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Semenyo (24'), N. O'Reilly (30'), E. Haaland (39').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.89 units (Brier 0.090).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.87 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.66 — 60% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.53 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.45 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.03 — 46% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.41 — 73% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.10 — 92% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.58 — 61% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.12 — 73% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Draw 5.30 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.18 — 82% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 0.5 18.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.25 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 9.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.40 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.89u −35% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
MCI – FUL @ 1.41
+2.9%
Edge
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