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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football World UEFA Champions League Benfica — Real Madrid

Match Benfica vs Real Madrid January 28, 2026

Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Wed 28 Jan · 20:00
4:2
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Davide Massa, Italy
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 56% · book 2.24
Hit
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 38% · book 3.45
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 28% · book 4.62
Total goals
6
4 · 2
xG (open play)
2.99 – 1.50
Δ +1.49
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Benfica host Real Madrid in a tie that pits a disciplined home side against an away team arriving with relentless momentum. Madrid should have the clearer routes to goal through sharper transitions and more consistent chance creation, but Benfica can stay competitive if they keep their shape and make set pieces count. Expect spells of Madrid control, with Benfica trying to slow the game and strike on counters. Goals look likely, with the visitors slightly favoured to get the job done.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

BEN 42 REA
33%
Possession (%)
67%
2.99
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.50
22
Total Shots
16
12
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
5
20
Shots Inside Box
12
6
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
15
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
7
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 8 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.24 56% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.45 38% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Home Win 4.62 28% Cashed +3.62 Cashed
Draw 4.47 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.36 42% Cashed +1.36 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.69 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.53 64% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 62% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
BTTS No 2.55 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.17 82% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.24 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.60 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.74 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.33 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 7 L +2.97u +20% ROI