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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — Newcastle

Tottenham vs Newcastle 1:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Tue 10 Feb · 19:30
1:2
Full-time
Newcastle
Newcastle
L W D W L Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.17 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.38 ✗
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 62% · book 1.60 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.76 – 2.50
Δ −0.74
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.92 — +7.6% better than the market.

Tottenham hosts Newcastle in a tightly matched Premier League clash. Tottenham’s home edge is mild but notable, supported by a compact defensive setup that has been resilient lately. Newcastle’s sharper attack faces a tough defensive test, though their recent form shows signs of revival. The pace is likely moderate, with both sides cautious yet probing for chances.

  • Home momentum with solid defensive discipline
  • Away’s attacking threat against a well-organized backline
  • Balanced tempo suggesting a tactical, measured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.92 ✗ Lost
AI 37% Implied 34% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TOT 4-3-3 · NEW 4-3-3
TOT · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · NEW 1 Vicario 14 Gray ⚽ 3 Drăguşin 37 Ven 24 Spence 22 Gallagher 8 Bissouma 29 Sarr 28 Odobert 19 Solanke 7 Simons 1 Pope 2 Trippier 12 Thiaw ⚽ 4 Botman 33 Burn 28 Willock 39 Guimarães 41 Ramsey ⚽ 20 Elanga 10 Gordon 11 Barnes
Subs used · TOT
35' Tel ↑ · Odobert ↓
46' Palhinha ↑ · Bissouma ↓
70' Kolo Muani ↑ · Gallagher ↓
Subs used · NEW
75' Tonali ↑ · Ramsey ↓
75' Murphy ↑ · Elanga ↓
88' Osula ↑ · Gordon ↓
88' Woltemade ↑ · Willock ↓
90+1' Hall ↑ · Guimaraes ↓

Statistics

TOT 1 – 2 NEW
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.76
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.50
16
Total Shots
21
2
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
7
10
Shots Inside Box
17
2
Corner Kicks
12
0
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
11
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 1 – 2
M. Tel ↓ · W. Odobert ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
35'
Pape Matar Sarr
Yellow Card
▮
41'
45'
⚽
M. Thiaw
0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
J. Palhinha ↓ · Y. Bissouma ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
59'
▮
Dan Burn
Yellow Card
Djed Spence
Yellow Card
▮
62'
A. Gray
Assist · P. M. Sarr · 1–1
⚽
64'
Xavi Simons
Yellow Card
▮
67'
68'
⚽
J. Ramsey
Assist · A. Gordon · 1–2
R. Kolo Muani ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
70'
75'
⇄
S. Tonali ↓ · J. Ramsey ↑
Substitution 1
75'
⇄
J. Murphy ↓ · A. Elanga ↑
Substitution 2
88'
⇄
W. Osula ↓ · A. Gordon ↑
Substitution 3
88'
⇄
N. Woltemade ↓ · J. Willock ↑
Substitution 4
89'
▮
Bruno Guimarães
Yellow Card
90+1'
⇄
L. Hall ↓ · Bruno Guimaraes ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Newcastle won 2–1 away at Tottenham. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.50 to 1.76. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 16, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Thiaw (45'), A. Gray (64'), J. Ramsey (68').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.88 units (Brier 0.176).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.17 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.60 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.50 — 38% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.87 — 46% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 51% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.13 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.84 — 38% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 74% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Home Win 2.92 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.46 — 63% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.40 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.05 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.40 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.68 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 — 72% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.88u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
TOT – NEW @ 2.92
+7.6%
Edge
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