Model verdict
Model leans toward Newcastle to win — 54% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 54% | Newcastle win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 53% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 51% | No |
| Double Chance | 79% | X2 |
- 1X2 Newcastle win 54%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53%
- BTTS No 51%
- Double Chance X2 79%
Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Coventry
W/D/L
1-0-4
Goals (for / against)
1 / 10
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
1/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
0/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.78 / 1.26
Newcastle
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
9 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.6
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.09 / 1.64
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Coventry wins when scoring first
100%
①
Newcastle wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
Coventry BTTS rate · last 5
0%
⚽
Newcastle BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Coventry Over 2.5 · last 5
40%
↑
Newcastle Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Coventry comeback rate · last 5
0%
↩
Newcastle comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Coventry · last 2 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
0%
Newcastle · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
20%
31–45
30%
46–60
0%
61–75
40%
76–90
10%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
