New Balance Arena · BergamoReferee Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.88✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 34% · book 3.50✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.00✗
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.99 – 1.74
Δ +0.25
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Atalanta should control most phases at home, with sharper structure and more reliable game management against an Athletic side that has struggled to turn performances into wins lately. Expect the hosts to dictate territory and limit clean away chances, while the visitors look for set pieces and transitions. The overall profile leans to Atalanta avoiding defeat, with a fair chance the game stays on the tighter side unless an early goal opens it up.