Match Villarreal vs Ajax January 20, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Villarreal should be comfortable in long spells at Estadio de la Ceramica, but Ajax arrive in stronger rhythm and are capable of keeping this tight for long periods. The most likely game script is Villarreal having more control, Ajax staying competitive through transitions and set plays, and the match leaning toward a normal scoring range rather than a one-sided blowout.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

VIL 4-4-2 · AJA 4-3-3

VIL · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · AJA

21 Oluwaseyi

📊 Statistics

VIL 1 – 2 AJA

39%

Possession (%)

61%

1.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.91

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

92%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 8 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.79	—	61%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Away Win	5.53	—	32%	Cashed	+4.53	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.52	—	59%	Cashed	+1.52	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.25	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.25	—	32%	Cashed	+3.25	Cashed
Draw	4.72	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.55	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.80	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.47	—	60%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	56%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.18	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.19	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	—	78%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Home Win	1.60	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 8 L	+3.29u	+21% ROI