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Home World UEFA Champions League Villarreal — Ajax

Predictions Villarreal vs Ajax January 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Tue 20 Jan · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
L L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal Referee Nick Walsh, Scotland
Home Win · VIL
41%
Best 1.34
Draw
27%
Best 5.61
VALUE
Away Win · AJA
32%
Best 8.00
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.79
Fair odds
1.64
book 1.79 · +9.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 61% · EV +9.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Value pick
Probability 32%
Odds 5.53
Show model details
Implied probability 18.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 4.72
Show model details
Implied probability 21.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 41%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 22%
Odds 6.25
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 40%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality High
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 95%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 44%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 56%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Away 0 Value pick
Probability 32%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Value pick
Probability 59%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.