Manchester City arrive as the sharper, more reliable team in both chance creation and game control, while Bodo/Glimt have shown defensive fragility and a habit of conceding clear looks. The visitors should dictate territory and tempo, with the most natural match story being City scoring multiple times and keeping the hosts under long spells without the ball. The key question is whether Bodo can contribute on the scoreboard; the safer angle is City doing the heavy lifting.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
BOD 4-4-2 · MCI 4-3-3📊 Statistics
BOD 3 – 1 MCI34%
Possession (%)
66%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.16
8
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
12
2
Corner Kicks
9
6
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
9
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
0
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Match recap
Bodo/Glimt beat Manchester City 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 92% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.35 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 10 landed and 9 missed, for a net +18.38 units (Brier 0.339).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
19 · 10 W · 9 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 1.97 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 2.63 | — | 50% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 28.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 1.99 | — | 52% | Cashed | +0.99 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 1.41 | — | 73% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.14 | — | 89% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.37 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.37 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.12 | — | 88% | Cashed | +0.12 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 1.18 | — | 83% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.02 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.02 | Cashed |
| Draw | 6.10 | — | 16% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home +1 | 2.48 | — | 38% | Cashed | +1.48 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 7.50 | — | 12% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 3.40 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 3.22 | — | 27% | Cashed | +2.22 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 4.65 | — | 18% | Cashed | +3.65 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.57 | — | 50% | Cashed | +0.57 | Cashed |
| AH Home -1 | 13.00 | — | 6% | Cashed | +12.00 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 6.96 | — | 11% | Cashed | +5.96 | Cashed |
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 10 W · 9 L | +18.38u | +97% ROI |