Liverpool vs Manchester City 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.68 — +9.6% better than the market.

Premier League Clash at Anfield

Liverpool hosts Manchester City in a high-stakes encounter where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, boasting superior offensive and defensive metrics. However, Liverpool's home momentum and compact defensive block could challenge City's attacking rhythm. The recent form slightly favors Liverpool, suggesting a tight, tactical battle with pressing intensity from both sides. Expect a balanced pace with chances on set-pieces and transitions.

Manchester City's offensive firepower vs Liverpool's resilient defense
Home crowd energy boosting Liverpool's pressing game
Recent form hints at a closely contested match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.68 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 60% +0.68u

+68%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LIV 4-2-3-1 · MCI 4-3-3

LIV · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · MCI

22 Ekitiké

Subs used · LIV

85'

Jones ↑ ·

Gakpo ↓

90+4'

Chiesa ↑ ·

Kerkez ↓

Subs used · MCI

61'

Dias ↑ ·

Khusanov ↓

61'

Cherki ↑ ·

Marmoush ↓

90+6'

Ake ↑ ·

Semenyo ↓

Statistics

LIV 1 – 2 MCI

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.21

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.81

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 1 – 2

42'

▮

Omar Marmoush

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

Virgil van Dijk

Yellow Card

▮

47'

61'

⇄

R. Dias ↓ · A. Khusanov ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

R. Cherki ↓ · O. Marmoush ↑

Substitution 2

69'

▮

Marc Guéhi

Yellow Card

D. Szoboszlai

1–0

⚽

74'

84'

⚽

B. Silva

Assist · E. Haaland · 1–1

C. Jones ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

85'

90'

⚽

E. Haaland (P)

Penalty · 1–2

Alisson

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

90+4'

▮

Erling Haaland

Yellow Card

F. Chiesa ↓ · M. Kerkez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

90+4'

90+6'

⇄

N. Ake ↓ · A. Semenyo ↑

Substitution 3

90+7'

▮

Bernardo Silva

Yellow Card

Dominik Szoboszlai

Red Card

▮

90+13'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Manchester City won 2–1 away at Liverpool. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.81 to 1.21. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Szoboszlai (74'), B. Silva (84'), E. Haaland (90'). Dominik Szoboszlai was sent off in the 90+13' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.08 units (Brier 0.141).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.68	—	65%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.70	—	58%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.35	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.58	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.24	—	41%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
Home Win	2.34	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.76	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.05	—	41%	Cashed	+2.05	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.85	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.55	—	63%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	65%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	—	84%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.75	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.08u	−18% ROI

Liverpool vs Manchester City 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Premier League Clash at Anfield

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled