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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Marseille — Rennes

Match Marseille vs Rennes May 17, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 19:00
3:1
Full-time
Rennes
Rennes
W W L W L Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee R. Buquet
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 2.08
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.03
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 55% · book 1.91
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
3.01 – 2.56
Δ +0.45
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Marseille holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a competitive clash at Orange Vélodrome. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Rennes' decent attacking threat, setting up an intriguing tactical battle. Recent form favors Rennes, who show strong momentum, but Marseille's home resilience and pressing edge could keep the game tight.

  • Marseille's compact block may limit Rennes' chances.
  • Rennes' attacking runs challenge Marseille's defense.
  • Moderate pace expected, with balanced goal opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MAR 4-2-3-1 · REN 4-3-3
Subs used · MAR
72' Vermeeren ↑ · Paixao
82' Timber ↑ · Hojbjerg
83' Kamissoko ↑ · Nnadi
88' Pavard ↑ · Weah
Subs used · REN
46' Embolo ↑ · Szymanski
67' Nordin ↑ · Tamari
79' Mukiele ↑ · Blas

📊 Statistics

MAR 31 REN
45%
Possession (%)
55%
3.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.56
27
Total Shots
27
11
Shots on Target
6
9
Shots off Target
14
19
Shots Inside Box
20
4
Corner Kicks
11
2
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
10
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
8

Match events

15 · 3 – 1
P. Hojbjerg
Assist · M. Greenwood · 1–0
2'
A. Gouiri
2–0
10'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
B. Embolo ↓ · S. Szymanski ↑
Substitution 1
P. Hojbjerg
Yellow Card
49'
P. Aubameyang
Assist · P. Hojbjerg · 3–0
55'
67'
A. Nordin ↓ · M. Tamari ↑
Substitution 2
A. Vermeeren ↓ · I. Paixao ↑
Substitution 1
72'
A. Gouiri
Yellow Card
76'
79'
M. Camara
Yellow Card
79'
N. Mukiele ↓ · L. Blas ↑
Substitution 3
Q. Timber ↓ · P. Hojbjerg ↑
Substitution 2
82'
N. Kamissoko ↓ · T. Nnadi ↑
Substitution 3
83'
84'
E. Lepaul
Assist · A. Nordin · 3–1
B. Pavard ↓ · T. Weah ↑
Substitution 4
88'
B. Pavard
Yellow Card
90+5'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.08 2.00 51% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.03 2.00 45% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.91 1.80 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 3.00 2.92 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.00 2.88 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.83 1.78 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.66 2.60 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.33 1.32 74% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.40 1.40 66% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.40 1.36 66% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.56 1.52 51% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.01 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.12 1.10 85% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Away Win 3.68 3.34 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 18.00 23.26 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.90 3.95 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 5.99 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.05u −30% ROI