Match Strasbourg vs Toulouse May 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Strasbourg arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a notable edge in offensive firepower against Toulouse's defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Toulouse struggles to convert chances despite a compact defensive setup. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with both sides likely to test each other's lines.

Home side's attacking edge versus away defense
Superior recent form and home comfort
Balanced tempo suggests tactical probing

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

STR 4-4-1-1 · TOU 3-4-2-1

STR · 4-4-1-1 3-4-2-1 · TOU

34 Diémé

Subs used · STR

46'

Mourabet ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

63'

Moreira ↑ ·

Amougou ↓

71'

Omobamidele ↑ ·

Doukouré ↓

72'

Enciso ↑ ·

Diémé ↓

82'

Emegha ↑ ·

Nanasi ↓

Subs used · TOU

63'

Emersonn ↑ ·

Rowe ↓

78'

Sidibé ↑ ·

Hidalgo ↓

78'

Kamanzi ↑ ·

Methalie ↓

82'

Sauer ↑ ·

Vossah ↓

82'

Azizi ↑ ·

Gboho ↓

📊 Statistics

STR 1 – 2 TOU

54%

Possession (%)

46%

0.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.17

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 2

Yaya Diémé

Yellow Card

▮

20'

Samuel Amo-Ameyaw

Assist · Ismael Doukouré · 1–0

⚽

27'

43'

⚽

Dayann Methalie

Assist · Cristian Cásseres Jr. · 1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

Samir El Mourabet ↓ · Abdoul Ouattara ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

56'

▮

Dayann Methalie

Yellow Card

Diego Moreira ↓ · Mathis Amougou ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

⇄

Emersonn ↓ · Jacen Russell Rowe ↑

Substitution 1

Andrew Omobamidele ↓ · Ismael Doukouré ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

Julio Enciso ↓ · Yaya Diémé ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

75'

▮

Alexis Vossah

Yellow Card

78'

⇄

Djibril Sidibé ↓ · Santiago Hidalgo ↑

Substitution 2

78'

⇄

Waren Kamanzi ↓ · Dayann Methalie ↑

Substitution 3

Emmanuel Emegha ↓ · Sebastian Nanasi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

⇄

Mario Sauer ↓ · Alexis Vossah ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

Ilyas Azizi ↓ · Yann Gboho ↑

Substitution 5

84'

⚽

Emersonn

Assist · Cristian Cásseres Jr. · 1–2

90+7'

▮

Aron Dønnum

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Toulouse won 2–1 away at Strasbourg. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.17 to 0.32. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Samuel Amo-Ameyaw (27'), Dayann Methalie (43'), Emersonn (84').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.96 units (Brier 0.185).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.92	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.07	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.88	—	52%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	55%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.99	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.46	—	58%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.84	—	33%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.60	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	69%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.50	—	33%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	76%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.96u	−23% ROI