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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lorient — Strasbourg

Lorient vs Strasbourg 2:3: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 W L D W L
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 13:00
2:3
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Stade du Moustoir · Lorient Referee Benoît Millot, France
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 64% · book 1.62 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.17 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
2.16 – 1.58
Δ +0.58
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.62 — +3.5% better than the market.

Strasbourg holds a clear quality edge over Lorient, driven by a stronger overall squad and a more potent attack. Despite Lorient's home momentum and recent positive form, Strasbourg's offensive threat against Lorient's defense suggests a tactical battle leaning towards the visitors. The match may see moderate goal action given the balanced pace hinted by odds.

  • Strasbourg's attacking edge challenges Lorient's defense.
  • Lorient's home form provides resilience.
  • Moderate tempo likely with chances for both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.62 ✓ Cashed
AI 64% Implied 62% +0.62u
+62%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LOR 3-4-2-1 · STR 4-4-1-1
LOR · 3-4-2-1 4-4-1-1 · STR 38 Mvogo 5 Meite 32 Adjei 25 Faye 77 Katseris 8 Cadiou ⚽ 6 Abergel 43 Kouassi 17 Makengo 10 Pagis ⚽ 12 Dieng 39 Penders 18 Mwanga 24 Hogsberg 6 Doukoure 8 Oyedele 27 Amo-Ameyaw 83 Luis 29 El Mourabet 80 Yassine 11 Nanasi ⚽ 19 Enciso
Subs used · LOR
69' Tosin ↑ · Dieng ↓
70' Avom ↑ · Abergel ↓
82' Karim ↑ · Pagis ↓
82' Soumano ↑ · Makengo ↓
85' Silva ↑ · Katseris ↓
Subs used · STR
65' Omobamidele ↑ · Doukoure ↓
67' Godo ↑ · Enciso ↓
67' Ouattara ↑ · El Mourabet ↓
76' Moreira ↑ · Mwanga ↓
85' Emegha ↑ · Yassine ↓

Statistics

LOR 2 – 3 STR
39%
Possession (%)
61%
2.16
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.58
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
4
14
Shots Inside Box
5
9
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
16
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

18 · 2 – 3
25'
▮
Lucas Høgsberg
Yellow Card
N. Cadiou
Assist · P. Katseris · 1–0
⚽
26'
Half-time · 1 – 0
P. Pagis (P)
Penalty · 2–0
⚽
54'
62'
⚽
S. Nanasi
Assist · R. Luis · 2–1
65'
⇄
A. Omobamidele ↓ · I. Doukoure ↑
Substitution 1
67'
⇄
M. Godo ↓ · J. Enciso ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⇄
A. Ouattara ↓ · S. El Mourabet ↑
Substitution 3
A. Tosin ↓ · B. Dieng ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
69'
A. Avom ↓ · L. Abergel ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
Panos Katseris
Yellow Card
▮
71'
73'
▮
Maxi Oyedele
Yellow Card
76'
⇄
D. Moreira ↓ · J. Mwanga ↑
Substitution 4
D. Karim ↓ · P. Pagis ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
S. Soumano ↓ · J. Makengo ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
Igor Silva ↓ · P. Katseris ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
E. Emegha ↓ · G. Yassine ↑
Substitution 5
90'
⚽
N. Adjei
Own goal · 2–2
90'
⚽
A. Omobamidele
2–3
Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Strasbourg won 3–2 away at Lorient. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.16 to 1.58. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Cadiou (26'), P. Pagis (54'), S. Nanasi (62'), N. Adjei (90'), A. Omobamidele (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.19 units (Brier 0.206).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.62 — 64% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS No 2.17 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 — 53% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.00 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.63 — 56% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.32 — 38% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
Home Win 2.18 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.60 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.20 — 38% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.95 — 31% Cashed +1.95 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 — 76% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.37 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.84 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.19u −7% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LOR – STR @ 1.62
+3.5%
Edge
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