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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Toulouse — Lille

Toulouse vs Lille 0:4: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 15:15
0:4
Full-time
Lille
Lille
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stadium Municipal · Toulouse Referee Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.44 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.27 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.91 ✗
Total goals
4
0 · 4
xG (open play)
0.96 – 1.84
Δ −0.88
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 4.10 — +14.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 4.10 ✓ Cashed
AI 28% Implied 24% +3.10u
+310%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TOU 3-4-2-1 · LIL 4-2-3-1
TOU · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · LIL 1 Restes 3 McKenzie 35 Koumbassa 2 Nicolaisen 19 Sidibé 23 Cásseres 18 Diop 24 Methalie 15 Dønnum 10 Gboho 20 Emersonn 1 Özer 12 Meunier ⚽ 3 Ngoy 23 Mandi 15 Perraud ⚽ 6 Bentaleb 21 Andre 17 Mukau 10 Haraldsson 27 Correia 7 Fernández ⚽
Subs used · TOU
59' Cresswell ↑ · Sidibe ↓
60' Kamanzi ↑ · Donnum ↓
60' Vossah ↑ · Demba ↓
71' Russell-Rowe ↑ · Emersonn ↓
76' Hidalgo ↑ · Gboho ↓
Subs used · LIL
71' Mbappe ↑ · Mukau ↓
71' Perrin ↑ · Correia ↓
76' Giroud ↑ · Andre ↓
82' Santos ↑ · Meunier ↓
83' Verdonk ↑ · Perraud ↓

Statistics

TOU 0 – 4 LIL
37%
Possession (%)
63%
0.96
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.84
9
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Target
9
3
Shots off Target
2
4
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
12
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 0 – 4
23'
⚽
T. Meunier
Assist · H. Haraldsson · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Mark McKenzie
Red Card
▮
48'
50'
⚽
R. Perraud
0–2
55'
⚽
M. Fernandez-Pardo
Assist · B. Andre · 0–3
C. Cresswell ↓ · D. Sidibe ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
59'
W. Kamanzi ↓ · A. Donnum ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
A. Vossah ↓ · P. Demba ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
60'
Emersonn
Yellow Card
▮
63'
J. Russell-Rowe ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
71'
⇄
E. Mbappe ↓ · N. Mukau ↑
Substitution 1
71'
⇄
G. Perrin ↓ · F. Correia ↑
Substitution 2
S. Hidalgo ↓ · Y. Gboho ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
76'
76'
⇄
O. Giroud ↓ · B. Andre ↑
Substitution 3
Dayann Methalie
Yellow Card
▮
80'
82'
⇄
T. Santos ↓ · T. Meunier ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
C. Verdonk ↓ · R. Perraud ↑
Substitution 5
88'
⚽
O. Giroud (P)
Penalty · 0–4
Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

Lille won 4–0 away at Toulouse. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.84 to 0.96. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 9 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.84 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: T. Meunier (23'), R. Perraud (50'), M. Fernandez-Pardo (55'), O. Giroud (88'). Mark McKenzie was sent off in the 48' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.60 units (Brier 0.192).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.44 — 50% Cashed +1.44 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.27 — 49% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.96 — 47% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.74 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.73 — 50% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.62 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.29 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 — 74% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.39 — 77% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.10 — 28% Cashed +3.10 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.20 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 — 92% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.34 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.26 — 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.27 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.60u −4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
TOU – LIL @ 4.10
+14.9%
Edge
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