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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Toulouse — Lille

Predictions by Market: Toulouse vs Lille

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 15:15
0:4
Full-time
Lille
Lille
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stadium Municipal · Toulouse Referee Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TOU
23%
Best 3.40
Draw
28%
Best 3.20
Away Win · LIL
50%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.57
book 4.10 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (72%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.34
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.27
Show model details
Implied probability 30.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 22.9%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
TOU – LIL @ 4.10
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →