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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Fulham — Brighton

Match Fulham vs Brighton January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

Fulham
Fulham
Home · last 5 W L L D W
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Craven Cottage · London Referee Michael Oliver, England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 37% · book 2.80
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.32
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.10
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.13 – 1.50
Δ −0.37
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Fulham hosts Brighton in a tightly matched Premier League clash at Craven Cottage. Despite Brighton's slight quality edge, Fulham's home momentum and defensive solidity could keep the game balanced. Both sides show similar recent form, but Fulham's pressing edge and compact block may disrupt Brighton's more potent attack.

  • Fulham's home defensive resilience vs Brighton's attacking threat
  • Close form trends suggest a tactical, cautious encounter
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FUL 4-2-3-1 · BRI 4-3-3
Subs used · FUL
59' Sessegnon ↑ · Robinson
59' Chukwueze ↑ · Kevin
69' Cairney ↑ · Smith Rowe
88' King ↑ · Iwobi
Subs used · BRI
81' Minteh ↑ · Gomez
81' Milner ↑ · Baleba
88' Rutter ↑ · Gross
88' Kostoulas ↑ · Welbeck
88' De Cuyper ↑ · Boscagli

📊 Statistics

FUL 21 BRI
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.50
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
4
6
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
6
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

14 · 2 – 1
28'
Y. Ayari
Assist · O. Boscagli · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
R. Sessegnon ↓ · A. Robinson ↑
Substitution 1
59'
S. Chukwueze ↓ · Kevin ↑
Substitution 2
59'
Sander Berge
Yellow Card
66'
T. Cairney ↓ · E. Smith Rowe ↑
Substitution 3
69'
S. Chukwueze
Assist · J. Andersen · 1–1
72'
81'
Y. Minteh ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 1
81'
J. Milner ↓ · C. Baleba ↑
Substitution 2
J. King ↓ · A. Iwobi ↑
Substitution 4
88'
88'
G. Rutter ↓ · P. Gross ↑
Substitution 3
88'
C. Kostoulas ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑
Substitution 4
88'
M. De Cuyper ↓ · O. Boscagli ↑
Substitution 5
H. Wilson
2–1
90'
90+1'
Charalampos Kostoulas
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Fulham beat Brighton 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the scoresheet: Y. Ayari (28'), S. Chukwueze (72'), H. Wilson (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.67 units (Brier 0.167).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.80 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.32 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.64 37% Cashed +1.64 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.86 52% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.65 56% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.03 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.92 37% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.55 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 63% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 70% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 75% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.70 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.58 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.67u −22% ROI